Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04

Fri 11 Sept, 18:30

FT 1-3

AI Prediction

LOW 43%

Union Berlin

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-3

Predicted: 1-0. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

3 Union Berlin last 4 at home: 1W-2D-1L (scored 10, conceded 11)

4 FC Schalke 04 last 5 away: 4W-0D-1L (scored 16, conceded 7)

5 H2H (6): even, 4D, avg 2.3 goals, BTTS 67%

6 Union Berlin without: O. Burke, M. Friedrich (+10 more)

7 FC Schalke 04 without: T. Kalas, R. Schallenberg (+2 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Union Berlin with an estimated 43% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Union Berlin have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 at home (scoring 10, conceding 11), while FC Schalke 04 have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 16, conceding 7). The head-to-head is even (1 win each, 4 draws in their last 6), averaging 2.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 67% of meetings. Union Berlin without: O. Burke, M. Friedrich (+10 more); FC Schalke 04 without: T. Kalas, R. Schallenberg (+2 more).