Valencia vs Real Madrid

Sat 7 Nov, 20:00

FT 0-3

AI Prediction

HIGH 73%

Real Madrid

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-3

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.43 - 2.49

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Real Madrid last 5 away: 4W-0D-1L (scored 13, conceded 8)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Real Madrid with an estimated 73% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.43-2.49 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Real Madrid, so treat this one with extra caution. Real Madrid have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 13, conceding 8).