Sevilla vs Alaves

Fri 6 Nov, 20:00

FT 0-0

AI Prediction

LOW 48%

Sevilla

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-0

Predicted: 1-0. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

3 Sevilla last 4 at home: 2W-0D-2L (scored 5, conceded 6)

4 Alaves last 4 away: 0W-1D-3L (scored 3, conceded 10)

5 H2H (10): Alaves lead 4-2 (4D), avg 2.8 goals, BTTS 70%

6 Sevilla without: M. Bueno, Marcao (+8 more)

7 Alaves without: M. Rodriguez, M. Rodriguez

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Sevilla with an estimated 48% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Alaves lead the head-to-head 4-2 (with 4 draws), averaging 2.8 goals per game with both teams scoring in 70% of meetings. Sevilla have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 at home (scoring 5, conceding 6), while Alaves have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 3, conceding 10). Sevilla without: M. Bueno, Marcao (+8 more); Alaves without: M. Rodriguez, M. Rodriguez.