NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes

Fri 6 Nov, 17:00

FT 0-1

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 51%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-1

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.85 - 0.79

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb last 4 at home: 1W-1D-2L (scored 4, conceded 5)

5 Rudes last 5 away: 3W-0D-2L (scored 8, conceded 8)

6 H2H (10): NK Lokomotiva Zagreb lead 6-1 (3D), avg 2.6 goals, BTTS 40%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours NK Lokomotiva Zagreb with an estimated 51% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.85-0.79 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb lead the head-to-head 6-1 (with 3 draws), averaging 2.6 goals per game with both teams scoring in 40% of meetings. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 at home (scoring 4, conceding 5), while Rudes have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 8, conceding 8).