Levante vs Atletico Madrid

Sat 31 Oct, 13:00

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 57%

Atletico Madrid

Predicted Winner

2-3

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 2.17 - 3.01

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Levante last 4 at home: 2W-1D-1L (scored 13, conceded 10)

6 Atletico Madrid last 5 away: 3W-1D-1L (scored 8, conceded 4)

7 H2H (10): Atletico Madrid lead 4-2 (4D), avg 2.3 goals, BTTS 50%

8 Levante without: E. Bardeli, E. Bardeli

9 Atletico Madrid without: J. Cardoso, Koke (+2 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Atletico Madrid with an estimated 57% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.17-3.01 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Atletico Madrid, so treat this one with extra caution. Atletico Madrid lead the head-to-head 4-2 (with 4 draws), averaging 2.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings. Levante have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 at home (scoring 13, conceding 10), while Atletico Madrid have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 8, conceding 4). Levante without: E. Bardeli, E. Bardeli; Atletico Madrid without: J. Cardoso, Koke (+2 more).