Real Sociedad vs Levante

Sun 25 Oct, 17:30

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 55%

Real Sociedad

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.15 - 0.39

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Real Sociedad last 5 at home: 1W-1D-3L (scored 4, conceded 8)

5 Levante last 5 away: 0W-3D-2L (scored 2, conceded 7)

6 H2H (10): Real Sociedad lead 4-3 (3D), avg 2.3 goals, BTTS 70%

7 Real Sociedad without: L. Beitia, A. Odriozola (+2 more)

8 Levante without: E. Bardeli, Dela (+2 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Real Sociedad with an estimated 55% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.15-0.39 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Real Sociedad have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 at home (scoring 4, conceding 8), while Levante have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 2, conceding 7). Real Sociedad lead the head-to-head 4-3 (with 3 draws), averaging 2.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 70% of meetings. Real Sociedad without: L. Beitia, A. Odriozola (+2 more); Levante without: E. Bardeli, Dela (+2 more).