Racing Santander vs Espanyol

Sat 24 Oct, 14:15

AI Prediction

LOW 36%

Racing Santander

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.83 - 1.43

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Racing Santander last 5 at home: 2W-3D-0L (scored 10, conceded 8)

6 Espanyol last 5 away: 1W-1D-3L (scored 6, conceded 8)

7 H2H (6): Espanyol lead 3-2 (1D), avg 2.0 goals, BTTS 33%

8 Racing Santander without: S. Eriksson, S. Eriksson

9 Espanyol without: K. Garcia, Jofre (+2 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Racing Santander with an estimated 36% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.83-1.43 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Racing Santander, so treat this one with extra caution. Racing Santander have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 10, conceding 8), while Espanyol have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 8). Espanyol lead the head-to-head 3-2 (with 1 draw), averaging 2.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 33% of meetings. Racing Santander without: S. Eriksson, S. Eriksson; Espanyol without: K. Garcia, Jofre (+2 more).