Athletic Club vs Getafe

Sun 25 Oct, 13:00

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 56%

Athletic Club

Predicted Winner

2-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.64 - 0.00

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Athletic Club last 4 at home: 1W-2D-1L (scored 5, conceded 4)

5 Getafe last 5 away: 0W-1D-4L (scored 2, conceded 8)

6 H2H (10): even, 6D, avg 1.9 goals, BTTS 40%

7 Athletic Club without: U. Egiluz, G. Guruzeta (+6 more)

8 Getafe without: Djene, Juanmi (+8 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Athletic Club with an estimated 56% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.64-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Athletic Club have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 at home (scoring 5, conceding 4), while Getafe have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 2, conceding 8). The head-to-head is even (2 win each, 6 draws in their last 10), averaging 1.9 goals per game with both teams scoring in 40% of meetings. Athletic Club without: U. Egiluz, G. Guruzeta (+6 more); Getafe without: Djene, Juanmi (+8 more).