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Villarreal vs Levante

Sun 20 Sept, 16:30

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 63%

Villarreal

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 0.98 - 0.00

3 Villarreal last 3 at home: 1W-0D-2L (scored 4, conceded 5)

4 Levante last 5 away: 1W-2D-2L (scored 3, conceded 5)

5 H2H (9): Villarreal lead 6-2 (1D), avg 2.9 goals, BTTS 33%

6 Villarreal without: S. Comesana, J. Foyth (+2 more)

7 Levante without: K. Etta Eyong, A. Primo (+4 more)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Villarreal with an estimated 63% win probability, based on market odds and a Poisson xG model (0.98-0.00 goals). Villarreal lead the head-to-head 6-2 (with 1 draw), averaging 2.9 goals per game with both teams scoring in 33% of meetings. Villarreal have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 at home (scoring 4, conceding 5), while Levante have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 3, conceding 5). Villarreal without: S. Comesana, J. Foyth (+2 more); Levante without: K. Etta Eyong, A. Primo (+4 more).