Wrexham vs Wolves

Sat 7 Nov, 12:30

FT 1-1

AI Prediction

LOW 40%

Wolves

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-1

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: poisson, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.67 - 1.33

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Wrexham last 5 at home: 3W-1D-1L (scored 10, conceded 5)

6 Wolves last 5 away: 3W-0D-2L (scored 5, conceded 4)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Wolves with an estimated 40% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.67-1.33 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the Poisson model leans toward Wrexham, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Wolves, so treat this one with extra caution. Wrexham have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 10, conceding 5), while Wolves have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 5, conceding 4).