Wolves vs Cardiff

Sat 31 Oct, 15:00

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 58%

Wolves

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 2.12 - 0.81

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Wolves last 4 at home: 2W-1D-1L (scored 4, conceded 4)

5 Cardiff last 5 away: 0W-1D-4L (scored 4, conceded 9)

6 H2H (10): even, 0D, avg 2.4 goals, BTTS 50%

7 Wolves without: R. Jimenez, G. Konan (+10 more)

8 Cardiff without: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor (+8 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Wolves with an estimated 58% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.12-0.81 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Wolves have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 at home (scoring 4, conceding 4), while Cardiff have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 9). The head-to-head is even (5 win each, 0 draws in their last 10), averaging 2.4 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings. Wolves without: R. Jimenez, G. Konan (+10 more); Cardiff without: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor (+8 more).