Swansea vs Blackburn

Sat 31 Oct, 15:00

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 53%

Swansea

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.22 - 0.46

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Swansea last 5 at home: 3W-1D-1L (scored 7, conceded 3)

5 Blackburn last 5 away: 1W-2D-2L (scored 6, conceded 7)

6 H2H (10): Swansea lead 6-4 (0D), avg 2.3 goals, BTTS 40%

7 Swansea without: C. Burgess, Ronald (+4 more)

8 Blackburn without: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland (+8 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Swansea with an estimated 53% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.22-0.46 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Swansea lead the head-to-head 6-4 (with 0 draws), averaging 2.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 40% of meetings. Swansea have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 7, conceding 3), while Blackburn have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 7). Swansea without: C. Burgess, Ronald (+4 more); Blackburn without: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland (+8 more).