West Ham vs Southampton

Sat 24 Oct, 14:00

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 60%

West Ham

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 2.48 - 0.69

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 West Ham last 5 at home: 3W-1D-1L (scored 16, conceded 6)

5 Southampton last 4 away: 1W-2D-1L (scored 4, conceded 4)

6 H2H (10): West Ham lead 4-2 (4D), avg 2.3 goals, BTTS 50%

7 West Ham without: K. Lamadrid, K. Lamadrid

8 Southampton without: F. Downes, F. Downes

Detailed Analysis

The model favours West Ham with an estimated 60% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.48-0.69 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. West Ham lead the head-to-head 4-2 (with 4 draws), averaging 2.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings. West Ham have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 16, conceding 6), while Southampton have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 4). West Ham without: K. Lamadrid, K. Lamadrid; Southampton without: F. Downes, F. Downes.