Stoke City vs Bristol City

Sat 24 Oct, 14:00

AI Prediction

LOW 46%

Stoke City

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 2.48 - 1.49

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Stoke City last 5 at home: 3W-1D-1L (scored 10, conceded 5)

5 Bristol City last 5 away: 3W-1D-1L (scored 9, conceded 7)

6 H2H (10): Bristol City lead 5-4 (1D), avg 3.1 goals, BTTS 50%

7 Stoke City without: A. Ampah, A. Cresswell (+6 more)

8 Bristol City without: R. Dickie, N. Eile (+6 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Stoke City with an estimated 46% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.48-1.49 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Stoke City have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 10, conceding 5), while Bristol City have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 9, conceding 7). Bristol City lead the head-to-head 5-4 (with 1 draw), averaging 3.1 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings. Stoke City without: A. Ampah, A. Cresswell (+6 more); Bristol City without: R. Dickie, N. Eile (+6 more).