Preston vs West Brom

Sat 24 Oct, 14:00

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 51%

West Brom

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.66 - 1.49

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Preston last 5 at home: 1W-0D-4L (scored 3, conceded 10)

6 West Brom last 5 away: 2W-0D-3L (scored 6, conceded 8)

7 H2H (10): West Brom lead 6-2 (2D), avg 2.5 goals, BTTS 40%

8 Preston without: H. Clarke, L. Gibbs (+8 more)

9 West Brom without: N. Galves, M. Johnston (+2 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours West Brom with an estimated 51% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.66-1.49 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours West Brom, so treat this one with extra caution. West Brom lead the head-to-head 6-2 (with 2 draws), averaging 2.5 goals per game with both teams scoring in 40% of meetings. Preston have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 at home (scoring 3, conceding 10), while West Brom have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 8). Preston without: H. Clarke, L. Gibbs (+8 more); West Brom without: N. Galves, M. Johnston (+2 more).