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Wolves vs West Brom

Sun 20 Sept, 11:00

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 47%

Wolves

Predicted Winner

3-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 2.77 - 1.38

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 West Brom last 5 away: 3W-0D-2L (scored 10, conceded 8)

6 H2H (7): West Brom lead 3-2 (2D), avg 3.3 goals, BTTS 71%

7 Wolves without: R. Jimenez, Y. Mosquera (+4 more)

8 West Brom without: N. Galves, M. Johnston (+2 more)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Wolves with an estimated 47% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.77-1.38 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Wolves, so treat this one with extra caution. West Brom have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 10, conceding 8). West Brom lead the head-to-head 3-2 (with 2 draws), averaging 3.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 71% of meetings. Wolves without: R. Jimenez, Y. Mosquera (+4 more); West Brom without: N. Galves, M. Johnston (+2 more).