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Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd

Sat 19 Sept, 11:30

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 46%

Stoke City

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.41 - 0.63

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Stoke City last 5 at home: 3W-1D-1L (scored 9, conceded 3)

5 Sheffield Utd last 5 away: 2W-2D-1L (scored 6, conceded 5)

6 H2H (10): Sheffield Utd lead 6-2 (2D), avg 2.9 goals, BTTS 60%

7 Stoke City without: A. Cresswell, B. Gibson (+10 more)

8 Sheffield Utd without: H. Burrows, T. Chong (+6 more)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Stoke City with an estimated 46% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.41-0.63 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Sheffield Utd lead the head-to-head 6-2 (with 2 draws), averaging 2.9 goals per game with both teams scoring in 60% of meetings. Stoke City have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 9, conceding 3), while Sheffield Utd have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 5). Stoke City without: A. Cresswell, B. Gibson (+10 more); Sheffield Utd without: H. Burrows, T. Chong (+6 more).