West Brom vs QPR

Sat 12 Sept, 11:30

FT 1-1

AI Prediction

LOW 44%

West Brom

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-1

Predicted: 1-0. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

3 West Brom last 3 at home: 2W-1D-0L (scored 5, conceded 2)

4 QPR last 5 away: 4W-1D-0L (scored 15, conceded 4)

5 H2H (10): West Brom lead 6-2 (2D), avg 2.7 goals, BTTS 60%

6 West Brom without: N. Galves, M. Johnston (+4 more)

7 QPR without: I. Chair, K. Dembele (+12 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours West Brom with an estimated 44% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. West Brom lead the head-to-head 6-2 (with 2 draws), averaging 2.7 goals per game with both teams scoring in 60% of meetings. West Brom have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 at home (scoring 5, conceding 2), while QPR have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 15, conceding 4). West Brom without: N. Galves, M. Johnston (+4 more); QPR without: I. Chair, K. Dembele (+12 more).