SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

Sat 12 Sept, 13:30

FT 5-0

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 55%

SC Freiburg

Predicted Winner

6-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 5-0

Predicted: 6-0. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 6.08 - 0.00

3 Borussia Mönchengladbach last 5 away: 4W-0D-1L (scored 18, conceded 5)

4 H2H (10): SC Freiburg lead 5-0 (5D), avg 3.1 goals, BTTS 50%

5 Borussia Mönchengladbach without: J. Castrop, D. Hashioka (+10 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours SC Freiburg with an estimated 55% win probability, based on market odds and a Poisson xG model (6.08-0.00 goals). SC Freiburg lead the head-to-head 5-0 (with 5 draws), averaging 3.1 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 18, conceding 5). Borussia Mönchengladbach without: J. Castrop, D. Hashioka (+10 more).