Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Tue 15 Sept, 18:45

FT 2-2

AI Prediction

HIGH 85%

Middlesbrough

Predicted Winner

6-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 2-2

Predicted: 6-2. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Poisson xG model: 5.59 - 1.55

2 Middlesbrough last 5 at home: 4W-1D-0L (scored 13, conceded 8)

3 Millwall last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L (scored 6, conceded 9)

4 Middlesbrough without: A. Jones, A. Jones

5 Millwall without: J. Coburn, T. Crama (+20 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Middlesbrough with an estimated 90% win probability, based on a Poisson xG model (5.59-1.55 goals). Middlesbrough have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 13, conceding 8), while Millwall have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 9). Middlesbrough without: A. Jones, A. Jones; Millwall without: J. Coburn, T. Crama (+20 more).