Crystal Palace vs Liverpool

Sun 8 Nov, 14:00

FT 1-3

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 64%

Liverpool

Predicted Winner

1-3

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-3

Predicted: 1-3. Exact score correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.84 - 3.26

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Crystal Palace last 4 at home: 1W-1D-2L (scored 4, conceded 6)

6 Liverpool last 4 away: 3W-0D-1L (scored 11, conceded 7)

7 H2H (10): even, 4D, avg 2.3 goals, BTTS 60%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Liverpool with an estimated 64% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.84-3.26 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Liverpool, so treat this one with extra caution. Crystal Palace have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 at home (scoring 4, conceding 6), while Liverpool have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 11, conceding 7). The head-to-head is even (3 win each, 4 draws in their last 10), averaging 2.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 60% of meetings.