Tottenham vs Crystal Palace

Sat 31 Oct, 17:30

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 58%

Tottenham

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 2.08 - 0.83

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Tottenham last 5 at home: 2W-1D-2L (scored 10, conceded 7)

5 Crystal Palace last 5 away: 1W-2D-2L (scored 5, conceded 10)

6 H2H (10): Tottenham lead 6-4 (0D), avg 2.6 goals, BTTS 30%

7 Tottenham without: T. Adarabioyo, R. Bentancur (+12 more)

8 Crystal Palace without: C. Riad, I. Sarr (+8 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Tottenham with an estimated 58% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.08-0.83 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Tottenham lead the head-to-head 6-4 (with 0 draws), averaging 2.6 goals per game with both teams scoring in 30% of meetings. Tottenham have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 10, conceding 7), while Crystal Palace have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 5, conceding 10). Tottenham without: T. Adarabioyo, R. Bentancur (+12 more); Crystal Palace without: C. Riad, I. Sarr (+8 more).