Hull City vs Ipswich

Sat 31 Oct, 15:00

AI Prediction

LOW 41%

Hull City

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 2.48 - 0.95

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Hull City last 4 at home: 1W-3D-0L (scored 5, conceded 3)

6 Ipswich last 4 away: 1W-0D-3L (scored 7, conceded 11)

7 H2H (10): even, 2D, avg 2.7 goals, BTTS 20%

8 Hull City without: I. Ansah, D. Gyabi (+12 more)

9 Ipswich without: J. Taylor, S. Lukic (+2 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Hull City with an estimated 41% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.48-0.95 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Ipswich, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Hull City, so treat this one with extra caution. Hull City have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 at home (scoring 5, conceding 3), while Ipswich have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 11). The head-to-head is even (4 win each, 2 draws in their last 10), averaging 2.7 goals per game with both teams scoring in 20% of meetings. Hull City without: I. Ansah, D. Gyabi (+12 more); Ipswich without: J. Taylor, S. Lukic (+2 more).