Hull City vs Brentford

Sun 25 Oct, 14:00

AI Prediction

LOW 43%

Brentford

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: poisson, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.56 - 0.78

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Hull City last 4 at home: 1W-3D-0L (scored 4, conceded 2)

6 Brentford last 5 away: 2W-3D-0L (scored 13, conceded 7)

7 H2H (8): Hull City lead 4-2 (2D), avg 3.4 goals, BTTS 63%

8 Hull City without: I. Ansah, J. Butland (+12 more)

9 Brentford without: J. Dasilva, K. Furo (+8 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Brentford with an estimated 43% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.56-0.78 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the Poisson model leans toward Hull City, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Brentford, so treat this one with extra caution. Hull City lead the head-to-head 4-2 (with 2 draws), averaging 3.4 goals per game with both teams scoring in 63% of meetings. Hull City have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 at home (scoring 4, conceding 2), while Brentford have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 13, conceding 7). Hull City without: I. Ansah, J. Butland (+12 more); Brentford without: J. Dasilva, K. Furo (+8 more).