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Brentford vs Chelsea

Fri 18 Sept, 19:00

FT 3-0

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 40%

Chelsea

Predicted Winner

0-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

📊

Actual result: 3-0

Predicted: 0-1 — Winner: Incorrect

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Brentford last 4 at home: 2W-2D-0L (scored 13, conceded 3)

5 Chelsea last 3 away: 1W-1D-1L (scored 7, conceded 7)

6 H2H (10): even, 4D, avg 2.4 goals, BTTS 40%

7 Brentford without: N. Collins, J. Dasilva (+8 more)

8 Chelsea without: Joao Pedro, M. Caicedo (+8 more)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Chelsea with an estimated 40% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Chelsea, so treat this one with extra caution. Brentford have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 at home (scoring 13, conceding 3), while Chelsea have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 7). The head-to-head is even (3 win each, 4 draws in their last 10), averaging 2.4 goals per game with both teams scoring in 40% of meetings. Brentford without: N. Collins, J. Dasilva (+8 more); Chelsea without: Joao Pedro, M. Caicedo (+8 more).