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Leeds vs Newcastle

Mon 14 Sept, 19:00

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 36%

Newcastle

Predicted Winner

0-1

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Leeds last 3 at home: 2W-1D-0L (scored 7, conceded 1)

5 Newcastle last 4 away: 3W-0D-1L (scored 6, conceded 5)

6 Leeds without: M. Joseph, J. Rodon (+4 more)

7 Newcastle without: D. Burn, Joelinton (+8 more)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Newcastle with an estimated 36% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Leeds, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Newcastle, so treat this one with extra caution. Leeds have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 at home (scoring 7, conceding 1), while Newcastle have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 5). Leeds without: M. Joseph, J. Rodon (+4 more); Newcastle without: D. Burn, Joelinton (+8 more).