⚽

Inter vs Udinese

Mon 14 Sept, 18:45

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 66%

Inter

Predicted Winner

5-3

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 4.79 - 3.08

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Inter last 3 at home: 3W-0D-0L (scored 8, conceded 3)

5 Udinese last 5: 3W-1D-1L (scored 8, conceded 6)

6 H2H (10): Inter lead 8-2 (0D), avg 3.2 goals, BTTS 70%

7 Inter without: F. Dimarco, D. Spence (+2 more)

8 Udinese without: J. Arizala, M. Palma (+10 more)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Inter with an estimated 66% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (4.79-3.08 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Inter lead the head-to-head 8-2 (with 0 draws), averaging 3.2 goals per game with both teams scoring in 70% of meetings. Inter have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 at home (scoring 8, conceding 3), while Udinese have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 (scoring 8, conceding 6). Inter without: F. Dimarco, D. Spence (+2 more); Udinese without: J. Arizala, M. Palma (+10 more).