Le Havre vs Lorient

Sun 8 Nov, 16:15

FT 0-2

AI Prediction

LOW 39%

Lorient

Predicted Winner

0-1

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-2

Predicted: 0-1. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: poisson, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.20 - 0.73

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Le Havre last 5 at home: 1W-1D-3L (scored 9, conceded 11)

6 Lorient last 5 away: 1W-2D-2L (scored 3, conceded 6)

7 H2H (9): Lorient lead 3-2 (4D), avg 2.9 goals, BTTS 44%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Lorient with an estimated 39% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.20-0.73 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the Poisson model leans toward a draw, API-Football's model leans toward Le Havre, while the blended pick still favours Lorient, so treat this one with extra caution. Le Havre have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 at home (scoring 9, conceding 11), while Lorient have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 3, conceding 6). Lorient lead the head-to-head 3-2 (with 4 draws), averaging 2.9 goals per game with both teams scoring in 44% of meetings.