Monaco vs Lille

Sun 25 Oct, 14:00

AI Prediction

LOW 37%

Monaco

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Monaco last 5 at home: 4W-1D-0L (scored 11, conceded 3)

5 Lille last 3 away: 1W-0D-2L (scored 2, conceded 5)

6 H2H (10): Lille lead 5-2 (3D), avg 2.2 goals, BTTS 40%

7 Monaco without: E. Dier, S. Idumbo (+2 more)

8 Lille without: H. Igamane, T. Santos (+4 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Monaco with an estimated 37% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Monaco, so treat this one with extra caution. Lille lead the head-to-head 5-2 (with 3 draws), averaging 2.2 goals per game with both teams scoring in 40% of meetings. Monaco have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 11, conceding 3), while Lille have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 away from home (scoring 2, conceding 5). Monaco without: E. Dier, S. Idumbo (+2 more); Lille without: H. Igamane, T. Santos (+4 more).