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Monaco vs Lens

Fri 18 Sept, 18:45

FT 2-1

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 48%

Monaco

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

📊

Actual result: 2-1

Predicted: 1-0 — Winner: Correct!

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Monaco last 4 at home: 3W-1D-0L (scored 9, conceded 3)

3 Lens last 4 away: 2W-1D-1L (scored 9, conceded 6)

4 H2H (10): Lens lead 4-3 (3D), avg 4.0 goals, BTTS 70%

5 Monaco without: M. Coulibaly, A. Fati (+12 more)

6 Lens without: S. Abdulhamid, S. Baidoo (+8 more)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Monaco with an estimated 48% win probability, based on market odds. Monaco have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 at home (scoring 9, conceding 3), while Lens have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 9, conceding 6). Lens lead the head-to-head 4-3 (with 3 draws), averaging 4.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 70% of meetings. Monaco without: M. Coulibaly, A. Fati (+12 more); Lens without: S. Abdulhamid, S. Baidoo (+8 more).