Fiorentina vs Juventus

Sun 8 Nov, 19:45

FT 2-2

AI Prediction

LOW 46%

Juventus

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 2-2

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.76 - 1.68

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Juventus last 5 away: 3W-1D-1L (scored 7, conceded 5)

6 Fiorentina without: R. Sottil

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Juventus with an estimated 46% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.76-1.68 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward Fiorentina, while the blended pick still favours Juventus, so treat this one with extra caution. Juventus have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 5). Fiorentina without: R. Sottil.