Udinese vs AS Roma

Sat 31 Oct, 17:00

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 66%

AS Roma

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.19 - 2.56

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Udinese last 5 at home: 1W-0D-4L (scored 3, conceded 9)

6 AS Roma last 4 away: 1W-3D-0L (scored 6, conceded 4)

7 H2H (10): AS Roma lead 7-2 (1D), avg 2.6 goals, BTTS 40%

8 Udinese without: D. Alaba, V. Bayo (+6 more)

9 AS Roma without: P. Dybala, M. Kone (+6 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours AS Roma with an estimated 66% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.19-2.56 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours AS Roma, so treat this one with extra caution. AS Roma lead the head-to-head 7-2 (with 1 draw), averaging 2.6 goals per game with both teams scoring in 40% of meetings. Udinese have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 at home (scoring 3, conceding 9), while AS Roma have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 4). Udinese without: D. Alaba, V. Bayo (+6 more); AS Roma without: P. Dybala, M. Kone (+6 more).