Bologna vs Monza

Sat 31 Oct, 14:00

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 50%

Bologna

Predicted Winner

3-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.77 - 1.55

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Bologna last 4 at home: 0W-2D-2L (scored 4, conceded 7)

5 Monza last 5 away: 0W-2D-3L (scored 8, conceded 12)

6 H2H (7): Bologna lead 4-1 (2D), avg 2.1 goals, BTTS 43%

7 Bologna without: L. De Silvestri, J. Enem (+6 more)

8 Monza without: M. Folorunsho, Y. Maye (+6 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Bologna with an estimated 50% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.77-1.55 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Bologna lead the head-to-head 4-1 (with 2 draws), averaging 2.1 goals per game with both teams scoring in 43% of meetings. Bologna have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 at home (scoring 4, conceding 7), while Monza have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 8, conceding 12). Bologna without: L. De Silvestri, J. Enem (+6 more); Monza without: M. Folorunsho, Y. Maye (+6 more).