Venezia vs Inter

Wed 28 Oct, 17:30

AI Prediction

HIGH 70%

Inter

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.48 - 2.56

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Venezia last 5 at home: 2W-0D-3L (scored 6, conceded 10)

6 Inter last 3 away: 1W-1D-1L (scored 6, conceded 5)

7 H2H (5): Inter lead 5-0 (0D), avg 2.6 goals, BTTS 40%

8 Venezia without: A. Adorante, T. Correia (+6 more)

9 Inter without: C. Jones, Luis Henrique (+8 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Inter with an estimated 70% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.48-2.56 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Inter, so treat this one with extra caution. Inter lead the head-to-head 5-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 2.6 goals per game with both teams scoring in 40% of meetings. Venezia have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 at home (scoring 6, conceding 10), while Inter have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 5). Venezia without: A. Adorante, T. Correia (+6 more); Inter without: C. Jones, Luis Henrique (+8 more).