HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica

Sat 31 Oct, 14:00

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 68%

HNK Hajduk Split

Predicted Winner

3-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.85 - 0.20

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 HNK Hajduk Split last 5 at home: 5W-0D-0L (scored 8, conceded 2)

5 HNK Gorica last 5 away: 2W-2D-1L (scored 6, conceded 4)

6 H2H (10): HNK Hajduk Split lead 7-2 (1D), avg 2.5 goals, BTTS 60%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours HNK Hajduk Split with an estimated 68% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.85-0.20 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. HNK Hajduk Split lead the head-to-head 7-2 (with 1 draw), averaging 2.5 goals per game with both teams scoring in 60% of meetings. HNK Hajduk Split have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 8, conceding 2), while HNK Gorica have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 4).