⚽

Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo

Fri 18 Sept, 18:00

FT 2-2

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 45%

NK Slaven Belupo

Predicted Winner

0-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

📊

Actual result: 2-2

Predicted: 0-2 — Winner: Incorrect

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 2.31 - 0.00

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Rudes last 4 at home: 1W-0D-3L (scored 5, conceded 16)

6 NK Slaven Belupo last 5 away: 1W-0D-4L (scored 5, conceded 9)

7 H2H (10): NK Slaven Belupo lead 7-1 (2D), avg 3.1 goals, BTTS 60%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours NK Slaven Belupo with an estimated 45% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.31-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours NK Slaven Belupo, so treat this one with extra caution. NK Slaven Belupo lead the head-to-head 7-1 (with 2 draws), averaging 3.1 goals per game with both teams scoring in 60% of meetings. Rudes have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 at home (scoring 5, conceding 16), while NK Slaven Belupo have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 5, conceding 9).