Mon 28 Sept, 16:00
The model favours Cyprus with an estimated 37% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Latvia, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Cyprus, so treat this one with extra caution. Latvia have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 at home (scoring 3, conceding 8), while Cyprus have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 8, conceding 3). All 1 of their last meetings have ended in a draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 100% of meetings.
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