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Kosovo vs Austria

Sun 4 Oct, 16:00

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 45%

Austria

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.56 - 0.00

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Kosovo last 4 at home: 2W-1D-1L (scored 5, conceded 2)

6 Austria last 4 away: 0W-2D-2L (scored 5, conceded 10)

7 H2H (1): Austria lead 1-0 (0D), avg 4.0 goals, BTTS 100%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Austria with an estimated 45% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.56-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Austria, so treat this one with extra caution. Kosovo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 at home (scoring 5, conceding 2), while Austria have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 5, conceding 10). Austria lead the head-to-head 1-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 4.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 100% of meetings.