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Israel vs Kosovo

Thu 1 Oct, 18:45

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 45%

Kosovo

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.00 - 2.50

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Israel last 3 at home: 1W-0D-2L (scored 8, conceded 9)

6 Kosovo last 5 away: 3W-0D-2L (scored 9, conceded 8)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Kosovo with an estimated 45% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.00-2.50 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Kosovo, so treat this one with extra caution. Israel have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 at home (scoring 8, conceding 9), while Kosovo have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 9, conceding 8).