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Greece vs Netherlands

Thu 1 Oct, 18:45

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 42%

Netherlands

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Greece last 3 at home: 1W-0D-2L (scored 3, conceded 4)

5 Netherlands last 5: 3W-2D-0L (scored 12, conceded 5)

6 H2H (2): Netherlands lead 2-0 (0D), avg 2.0 goals, BTTS 0%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Netherlands with an estimated 42% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward Greece, while the blended pick still favours Netherlands, so treat this one with extra caution. Netherlands lead the head-to-head 2-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 2.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 0% of meetings. Greece have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 at home (scoring 3, conceding 4), while Netherlands have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 (scoring 12, conceding 5).