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Bulgaria vs Estonia

Tue 29 Sept, 18:45

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 42%

Bulgaria

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Bulgaria last 4 at home: 1W-0D-3L (scored 4, conceded 10)

5 Estonia last 5 away: 1W-2D-2L (scored 7, conceded 10)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Bulgaria with an estimated 42% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Bulgaria, so treat this one with extra caution. Bulgaria have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 at home (scoring 4, conceding 10), while Estonia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 10).