Tue 29 Sept, 16:00
The model favours Faroe Islands with an estimated 38% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Faroe Islands, so treat this one with extra caution. Moldova have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 at home (scoring 2, conceding 6), while Faroe Islands have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 5). The head-to-head is even (1 win each, 2 draws in their last 4), averaging 2.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 75% of meetings.
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