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Finland vs Belarus

Tue 29 Sept, 16:00

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 57%

Finland

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

3 Finland last 3 at home: 2W-0D-1L (scored 6, conceded 2)

4 Belarus last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L (scored 6, conceded 7)

5 H2H (1): Finland lead 1-0 (0D), avg 2.0 goals, BTTS 0%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Finland with an estimated 57% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Finland have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 at home (scoring 6, conceding 2), while Belarus have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 7). Finland lead the head-to-head 1-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 2.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 0% of meetings.