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Armenia vs Montenegro

Mon 28 Sept, 16:00

FT 2-3

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 36%

Armenia

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

📊

Actual result: 2-3

Predicted: 1-0 — Winner: Incorrect

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Armenia last 5 at home: 1W-2D-2L (scored 5, conceded 5)

5 Montenegro last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L (scored 5, conceded 11)

6 H2H (4): Armenia lead 2-1 (1D), avg 3.8 goals, BTTS 75%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Armenia with an estimated 36% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Montenegro, while the blended pick still favours Armenia, so treat this one with extra caution. Armenia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 5, conceding 5), while Montenegro have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 5, conceding 11). Armenia lead the head-to-head 2-1 (with 1 draw), averaging 3.8 goals per game with both teams scoring in 75% of meetings.