Vietnam U23 vs Thailand U23

Tue 10 Nov, 12:00

FT 3-0

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 51%

Vietnam U23

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 3-0

Predicted: 1-0. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.85 - 1.11

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Vietnam U23 last 5 at home: 0W-3D-2L (scored 4, conceded 9)

5 Thailand U23 last 5 away: 1W-1D-3L (scored 8, conceded 12)

6 H2H (6): Vietnam U23 lead 4-1 (1D), avg 2.0 goals, BTTS 17%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Vietnam U23 with an estimated 51% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.85-1.11 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Vietnam U23 lead the head-to-head 4-1 (with 1 draw), averaging 2.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 17% of meetings. Vietnam U23 have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 4, conceding 9), while Thailand U23 have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 8, conceding 12).