Bedford Town vs Cray Wanderers

Sat 17 Oct, 14:00

FT 0-0

AI Prediction

LOW 37%

Cray Wanderers

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-0

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.48 - 2.22

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Bedford Town last 5 at home: 3W-2D-0L (scored 9, conceded 5)

6 Cray Wanderers last 5 away: 2W-2D-1L (scored 12, conceded 7)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Cray Wanderers with an estimated 37% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.48-2.22 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Bedford Town, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Cray Wanderers, so treat this one with extra caution. Bedford Town have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 9, conceding 5), while Cray Wanderers have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 12, conceding 7).