Wimborne Town vs Chelmsford City

Sat 17 Oct, 14:00

FT 1-0

AI Prediction

LOW 45%

Chelmsford City

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-0

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.00 - 0.56

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Wimborne Town last 4 at home: 3W-1D-0L (scored 13, conceded 4)

6 Chelmsford City last 5 away: 3W-2D-0L (scored 12, conceded 4)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Chelmsford City with an estimated 45% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.00-0.56 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward Wimborne Town, while the blended pick still favours Chelmsford City, so treat this one with extra caution. Wimborne Town have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 at home (scoring 13, conceding 4), while Chelmsford City have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 12, conceding 4).