Sutton Utd vs Truro City

Sat 17 Oct, 14:00

FT 1-0

AI Prediction

LOW 46%

Sutton Utd

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-0

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

3 Sutton Utd last 5 at home: 2W-1D-2L (scored 8, conceded 10)

4 Truro City last 4 away: 2W-2D-0L (scored 7, conceded 5)

5 H2H (3): Sutton Utd lead 2-1 (0D), avg 3.0 goals, BTTS 33%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Sutton Utd with an estimated 46% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Sutton Utd have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 8, conceding 10), while Truro City have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 5). Sutton Utd lead the head-to-head 2-1 (with 0 draws), averaging 3.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 33% of meetings.