Sholing vs SE Dons

Sat 17 Oct, 14:00

FT 2-0

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 50%

Sholing

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 2-0

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 2.22 - 0.00

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Sholing last 5 at home: 3W-0D-2L (scored 8, conceded 6)

5 SE Dons last 3: 3W-0D-0L (scored 10, conceded 3)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Sholing with an estimated 50% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.22-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Sholing have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 8, conceding 6), while SE Dons have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 (scoring 10, conceding 3).