AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe

Sat 17 Oct, 14:00

FT 2-1

AI Prediction

LOW 42%

Morecambe

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 2-1

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 AFC Rushden & Diamonds last 5 at home: 2W-2D-1L (scored 9, conceded 7)

5 Morecambe last 5 away: 1W-1D-3L (scored 5, conceded 7)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Morecambe with an estimated 42% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward AFC Rushden & Diamonds, while the blended pick still favours Morecambe, so treat this one with extra caution. AFC Rushden & Diamonds have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 9, conceding 7), while Morecambe have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 5, conceding 7).